Democratic Secret to Winning the White House. Model Explains Loss in 2004 and Wins in 2008 and 2012.

I have created a model that predicts the result of Presidential Elections since 9/11. It is simple but in tests against historical data it is 100% accurate.

Summary of Model Results Against Historical Data

Year Candidate Iraq War Position Result Democratic Secret to Winning the White House 2004 2008 2012

John Kerry	Voted For the Iraq War Resolution	Lost
Barack Obama	Famously opposed the Iraq War	Won
Barack Obama	Famously opposed the Iraq War	Won

Model’s Prediction for Results of the 2016 Presidential Election

Year Candidate Iraq War Position Result Prediction for Possible 2016 Democratic Nominees 2016 2016

Hillary Clinton	Voted For the Iraq War Resolution	Lose
Bernie Sanders	Voted Against the Iraq War Resolution	Win

Vote for Bernie Sanders to Win!

Maybe a bit of silliness in the model? Yes, but there is a serious point to be made...